To bid, or not to bid...

A friend of mine is a fireman in a rural village, which had been fighting for years to get a new fire engine. They were so far away from the nearest big town and main road that they needed to have their own retained fire crew. They had been struggling on with a cranky, unreliable old fire engine for forty five years, always worried that it would fail if ever they were called out to a serious fire.

After years of pestering, the County bought them a brand new, ultra modern fire appliance. The crew would meet every Tuesday evening and would spend the first two hours of their weekly training just polishing their new pride-and-joy. A friend of mine was one of these valiant firemen and when I went to stay with him, he spent at least two pints telling me how proud they were, now that they had a ‘real’ appliance.

‘It’s all very well spending all this time cleaning and polishing’ I said, ‘the first time you take it to a real fire, it will be covered in soot dirt and grime’.

‘We thought about that’ he replied, taking another sup. ‘We only take the new one out to false alarms’.

How absurd! Of course they won’t know if it’s a false alarm until they get there. But that is very similar to the situation faced when making decisions whether or not to bid for a contract. Wouldn’t it be great if you knew which bids you could win before you started bidding? It is critical to all businesses that they limit the amount of time, money and resources spent on bidding – yet many waste huge amounts putting together speculative bids in the hopes that one or two will be lucky.

For most people, the starting point is a regular trawl through the contract notices. TED is a useful one – it advertises all the public-sector contracts of any size. But if you start there, then you have missed out on the most important factor in bidding success – knowing your own organisation’s competitive strengths and weaknesses.

With few exceptions, price is the most influential criteria in the selection of low- to medium-risk projects. If you pitch higher than other bidders, it doesn’t matter how good your are, how good your bid-authors are, or how well you deliver; You won’t get the contact. For many companies, this means cutting costs to the bone, employing cheaper people, work them harder. Yet companies who consistently perform well and make a profit, rarely employ these tactics.

Price can also be reduced by lowering costs by doing things better. In business-school-speak this is called the Experience Cost Curve. Every time you do a particular activity, some learning is bought forward from the last time you did one. As you practice, your people get better, slicker and more efficient. Eventually, you will be able to perform complex projects at a fraction of the cost that a competitor can do it.

Take for example, MacDonald’s: The first time they sold a hamburger, they had to acquire a building, recruit a workforce, train them, get customers through the door…

By the time they had done this a few million times, they had a completely efficient supply chain, a training system, a standard design of kitchen, fully trained customers (who knew how to order) and their costs were miniscule compared with what they were initially. The care they took in refining the ‘sell hamburger’ process quickly developed into a ‘’open new restaurant’ process and eventually into their ‘expand into a new country’ process.

The chances are that in many small ways, your company has done this – you can do a lot of things better and cheaper than your competitors. Do you know what they are? If you have been sufficiently disciplined or intuitive to discover how these fit together to create competitive advantage, then you should be able to spot an opportunity that will be a good match for your corporate capabilities. But that is not the end of the story.

Large organisations – particularly public authorities – don’t always behave rationally. It’s perfectly natural to assume that the choice of a supplier will be based entirely on logic and common sense, but that is not always true. As well as cost, there are usually a small proportion of the decision criteria based on other factors. Those other factors are not always as rational or as transparent as we would like.

Large organisations are a collection of influencers and coalitions that can have a substantial effect of the outcome of procurement. A very large procurement on which I worked was said to have at least nineteen major groups of stakeholders, legislators and political oversight bodies who had to be satisfied with the placing of each contract. Typically, some of these groups had diametrically opposed interests and fought their agendas with huge amounts of gusto. The resultant decision criteria were practical, legal and fair – but somewhat removed from the types of criteria bidders were expecting.

Sometimes, the criteria which are eventually applied in the evaluation of bids are not quite what you expect. It takes a keen and experienced eye to spot them.

Same old recipe

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It’s OK chaps, the recession is over! At the start of February, there was an official announcement that Britain had achieved positive growth and was therefore, officially, slightly, a bit out of recession (I believe it has to be for three consecutive quarters before the Whitehall corks pop).

So now we are in the dangerous bit. A large population of the SME sector – and some bigger businesses who should know better – will be assuming that they can dust off the old recipes and go back to business-as-usual. ‘We are through the recession’, they will say, ‘everything is heading back to normality’. The lurking danger is the reality that more small businesses are likely to fail – and fail spectacularly – in the bounce-back, that they did when the recession started.

One cause of the likely celebratory attrition will be over-trading. This is the phenomenon where businesses become over-enthusiastic and take on more orders that they have working capital to deliver them.

The bigger ‘gotcha’ though, will be that assumption that business has somehow turned a full circle and returned to the same position that it was a few years ago. If that were the case, then by doing everything the way that you did before the recession – perhaps a little harder – would produce the same results. In the absence of visionary leadership, this may well be the default strategy for many small businesses.

'Because we can, we should'

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I have just returned from meeting up with a guy I first met at a Leadership Academy meeting last week. He is remarkable in many ways: Firstly, having once been a professional singer/entertainer, he can hold an audience of any size – including me, sitting opposite him in a coffee shop; He is very clever, multi-talented and involved in many businesses – evidenced by the fact that he carries at least four business cards with his name on them; He wears his battle-scars extraordinarily well for his age – and has stories of business successes and disasters in equal measure.

He also confesses to being just slightly busier than he should be, managing and developing at least five embryo companies that consume most of his spare time, quite a large chunk of his personal wealth and even more of his personal energy. Despite all his business interests being potentially lucrative, he does not seem to be making as much from them as he deserves. Yet he seems to me to be very aware of his situation, and as happy as a pig in shit.

I think it is likely that we will become good friends. I have an affinity for clever, multi-tasking innovators and empathise completely with people who habitually throw themselves both feet first into everything that catches their interest. Charles Handy has a lot to answer for since he coined the phrase ‘portfolio working’. I don’t know who first thought up the term ‘serial entrepreneur’, but they clearly both had similar ideas in mind and probably deserve a good spanking too.

People with this sort of personality tend to take the view ‘because I can, I will’. It’s an extension of the old climbers’ rationale ‘Because it’s there’. Sadly, I find myself doing this far too often – If you catch me at it, please shoot me.

There are a couple of very important lessons to be gained from studying these people and their behaviour. The one that leaps out immediately is that if you have loads of good ideas, you need to be very good at delegating and have sufficient financial backing to allow you to do so.

The other lesson is much more subtle. That is, that you can’t tell an entrepreneur how he should run his business. I may be able to step in and tell a dozen ways to turn his ideas into cash flow or how to improve his return on capital. But what if he wants things the way they are? It’s his life, his time, his ideas, his passion.

These principles scale up even to the largest enterprises.

The classic business school strategy is to focus on the core capabilities of the organisation: Don’t dabble; Jettison every part of operations that dilute your return of capital or distract your managers. But the underlying assumption here is that the organisation exists to make profit – and that may not be the case. Even if it were to be a substantial part of its raison d’être, the ability to make money may be based on its ability to look after its customers, its staff and other players in its business environment. Many organisations function beautifully because senior managers know how to maintain a balance between the needs of both the stakeholders and stockholders.

Senior managers at The Post Office, take note.